IGPSRAPID REPORT

2024-12-09
processed at SPACE-PC01 (Python 3.11.9)
version 3b30ef0

List of all methods


Mean prediction accuracy

dUT1 [μs]

data all last 10
prediction day -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
baseline gps rapid-63d-iers-none 21.0 20.8 20.9 21.2 21.1 21.1 21.5 21.4 21.0 20.9 20.9 21.4 21.7 21.9 22.3 22.5 22.8 23.0 23.7 24.2 24.4 24.2 24.6 24.7 25.0 25.0 25.3 25.8 27.2 28.4 33.1 51.8 67.8 91.3 120.1 152.2 188.4 227.5 271.8 319.4 374.5 438.9 516.0 604.4 704.6 815.4 939.4 1075.9 1222.8 1377.1 1536.2 1701.0 1868.6 2036.0 2203.3 2368.2 2530.3 2690.5 2848.3 3003.3 3156.0 3308.6 3458.1 16.7 24.6 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.2 19.2 14.6 15.8 14.0 16.9 21.3 19.1 23.7 26.4 21.1 21.4 22.1 20.2 24.9 20.6 20.7 20.8 20.9 20.7 21.7 24.4 25.1 29.1 32.8 42.5 52.0 49.9 73.9 97.6 121.4 159.1 203.6 230.4 252.9 324.3 395.7 473.8 587.3 742.8 899.0 975.5 1050.0 1046.5 1032.8 939.8 864.0 839.2 818.7 813.7 861.9 926.5 980.3 995.2 1026.8 1056.4 1148.2
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 21.1 20.8 20.9 21.2 42.5 42.1 42.8 43.8 44.7 43.9 42.3 45.9 40.9 44.3 44.9 44.6 46.8 48.0 46.2 50.0 48.1 42.7 47.9 50.6 50.4 50.9 60.8 51.0 52.9 59.7 69.1 111.6 273.2 337.2 411.8 502.5 580.9 654.5 762.2 863.6 982.9 1116.3 1286.8 1486.3 1672.0 1892.8 2127.3 2432.5 2761.8 3096.1 3404.5 3692.3 3985.7 4267.3 4539.0 4805.4 5078.4 5383.5 5662.0 5941.0 6223.6 6476.0 6722.1 17.3 24.8 18.6 18.6 19.8 17.0 18.3 18.8 13.8 16.8 13.9 17.3 20.7 19.7 24.7 27.6 23.2 26.6 24.3 20.1 22.3 19.5 20.0 21.4 22.6 22.6 26.5 27.8 36.4 39.6 48.1 49.8 74.6 144.2 158.8 149.8 208.4 279.3 425.7 492.7 677.7 802.0 898.9 1106.6 1326.6 1547.3 1566.3 1664.1 1316.7 1307.5 886.3 874.3 448.6 481.9 534.6 657.0 819.1 1066.1 1266.9 1362.0 1554.0 1607.9 1665.4
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 21.0 20.8 20.9 21.2 44.6 47.2 46.4 48.2 49.9 49.0 48.0 49.1 47.6 50.1 47.3 45.9 46.1 49.8 46.1 51.2 51.3 45.2 45.6 49.7 49.4 53.3 57.9 51.1 54.4 57.8 69.1 106.1 269.7 340.8 419.1 499.3 578.1 654.5 756.5 864.4 974.8 1118.9 1297.6 1486.8 1689.6 1890.5 2141.8 2451.9 2780.3 3108.1 3417.9 3707.0 4001.8 4293.0 4565.4 4839.5 5127.2 5433.0 5732.1 6020.0 6300.1 6566.7 6823.6 16.8 24.6 18.8 18.9 20.0 17.4 19.4 18.4 15.3 14.5 13.6 17.1 20.3 18.8 24.7 27.3 24.7 25.4 25.4 19.8 22.2 20.8 18.1 20.5 21.9 22.5 24.9 26.1 32.6 36.8 48.2 52.5 71.9 151.3 168.7 171.5 210.4 267.7 410.4 475.6 661.7 796.1 898.9 1117.6 1339.9 1561.5 1582.9 1678.1 1328.5 1319.0 893.8 875.4 449.1 480.7 533.5 660.9 819.4 1068.3 1270.2 1363.4 1555.2 1608.9 1664.1
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 21.1 20.8 20.8 21.2 41.7 39.1 39.7 37.5 39.9 39.8 39.1 40.1 40.1 40.0 39.5 41.3 40.1 43.0 44.0 48.9 46.3 39.0 43.9 47.2 48.0 49.8 51.2 47.7 48.4 53.6 65.3 103.6 261.9 342.3 414.3 497.0 577.3 655.9 758.0 867.7 979.3 1097.2 1254.4 1429.5 1587.2 1776.0 2024.5 2325.5 2644.0 2956.8 3241.0 3500.4 3757.6 4029.2 4303.1 4602.9 4914.8 5258.4 5624.2 5998.4 6354.4 6674.9 6967.5 17.1 24.5 18.3 19.0 19.3 18.4 19.4 19.2 15.1 17.8 14.7 18.1 20.7 18.3 25.3 27.1 25.1 25.0 25.4 20.9 21.9 19.5 18.1 20.1 20.9 20.7 22.4 26.4 32.3 36.7 48.0 50.8 72.9 148.8 164.0 165.6 213.2 272.4 425.6 499.7 705.1 856.1 978.6 1206.1 1442.1 1665.3 1681.9 1754.7 1374.5 1330.3 877.9 832.2 415.3 449.8 497.4 637.0 792.9 1014.6 1225.4 1321.2 1500.5 1543.0 1565.8
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers 23.8 23.1 23.2 23.6 23.4 23.2 23.4 23.2 23.0 23.0 23.1 23.8 24.2 24.6 25.0 24.9 25.1 24.9 25.4 25.8 26.1 25.7 25.9 25.8 26.2 26.4 26.9 27.6 29.3 30.2 34.5 54.6 70.1 89.8 115.1 144.3 177.9 216.8 262.4 311.5 366.4 432.1 508.6 596.3 697.9 812.6 939.2 1074.0 1217.2 1369.2 1525.8 1684.1 1840.0 1996.1 2150.5 2301.2 2447.7 2590.6 2731.1 2870.2 3006.4 3141.7 3282.0 16.7 24.6 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.2 19.2 14.6 15.8 14.0 16.8 21.3 19.1 23.6 26.4 21.1 21.4 22.0 20.1 24.8 20.5 20.7 20.7 20.8 20.6 21.6 24.4 25.1 29.1 32.7 42.5 52.2 49.2 71.8 93.7 114.5 150.3 194.1 224.1 252.2 336.9 418.5 499.5 608.0 751.8 880.3 945.8 987.6 999.3 973.0 905.0 828.0 831.7 840.4 865.6 946.2 1032.3 1100.2 1122.5 1160.7 1200.6 1323.1
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers20 23.8 23.1 23.2 23.6 23.4 23.2 23.4 23.2 23.0 23.0 23.1 23.8 24.2 24.6 25.0 24.9 25.1 24.9 25.4 25.8 26.1 25.7 25.9 25.8 26.2 26.4 26.9 27.6 29.3 30.2 34.5 54.6 70.1 89.9 115.1 144.4 178.0 216.9 262.6 311.7 366.7 432.3 508.8 596.5 698.1 812.8 939.4 1074.2 1217.4 1369.4 1526.0 1684.4 1840.2 1996.3 2150.7 2301.3 2447.8 2590.7 2731.1 2870.1 3006.2 3141.6 3281.7 16.7 24.6 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.2 19.2 14.6 15.8 14.0 16.9 21.3 19.1 23.6 26.4 21.1 21.4 22.0 20.2 24.9 20.6 20.7 20.8 20.9 20.7 21.6 24.4 25.1 29.1 32.7 42.5 52.2 49.2 71.7 93.6 114.5 150.3 194.3 224.2 252.3 336.7 418.3 499.2 607.7 751.4 879.9 945.5 987.3 999.1 972.9 904.9 828.0 831.7 840.4 865.8 946.4 1032.6 1100.5 1122.9 1161.1 1200.9 1323.4
reslearner full ensemble iers 20.9 20.8 20.9 21.2 38.4 37.4 37.8 38.0 39.3 38.7 37.5 38.8 37.4 38.9 38.3 38.4 38.4 41.9 40.6 44.9 42.7 37.4 40.5 44.5 44.0 45.6 50.1 44.3 46.2 51.0 60.5 96.7 221.2 283.0 350.5 424.7 494.3 562.7 651.8 746.6 845.2 960.5 1115.5 1286.3 1451.2 1626.0 1843.1 2107.9 2394.9 2679.2 2943.9 3188.9 3433.4 3677.0 3915.7 4160.0 4423.5 4698.6 4969.2 5239.6 5507.0 5749.3 5980.1 16.9 24.5 18.8 18.9 18.0 17.6 18.9 18.4 14.4 15.1 13.5 15.8 19.3 19.2 25.6 28.8 24.5 24.4 22.4 18.8 23.2 19.2 19.0 20.7 22.2 22.5 24.1 30.6 35.4 43.9 45.9 59.4 111.0 129.8 115.5 125.1 132.7 230.4 376.7 508.2 647.0 757.9 937.2 1214.2 1548.9 1780.2 1958.4 1833.7 1657.1 1386.6 1105.6 836.8 501.1 507.4 552.0 644.2 780.9 961.9 1136.6 1228.9 1379.9 1422.8 1483.0
reslearner full ensemble iers20 20.9 20.8 20.9 21.2 38.5 37.5 37.9 38.1 39.4 38.8 37.5 38.9 37.5 39.0 38.4 38.5 38.5 42.0 40.7 45.0 42.8 37.5 40.5 44.6 44.2 45.7 50.3 44.5 46.3 51.1 60.7 96.9 221.8 283.4 350.9 424.9 494.5 563.1 652.0 747.0 845.4 960.8 1115.6 1286.5 1451.4 1626.2 1843.4 2108.3 2395.5 2680.3 2945.1 3190.3 3434.9 3678.8 3917.9 4162.4 4426.2 4701.6 4972.7 5243.8 5511.6 5754.3 5985.8 16.9 24.5 18.8 18.9 18.0 17.6 18.9 18.4 14.4 15.1 13.5 15.8 19.3 19.2 25.6 28.9 24.5 24.4 22.4 18.8 23.1 19.2 19.0 20.7 22.2 22.6 24.2 30.8 35.7 44.3 46.4 59.7 111.4 130.0 115.5 125.1 132.6 230.4 376.7 508.1 646.9 757.7 937.0 1213.9 1548.6 1779.9 1958.3 1833.7 1657.1 1386.6 1105.6 836.8 501.1 507.4 552.0 644.2 780.9 961.9 1136.6 1228.9 1379.9 1422.7 1483.0
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 20.6 20.8 20.9 21.2 42.4 42.1 43.1 44.1 44.7 43.6 42.2 45.8 40.8 44.1 44.8 44.5 46.6 47.8 46.0 49.9 48.0 42.6 47.8 50.6 50.3 50.9 60.8 50.9 52.8 59.6 69.0 111.6 272.7 336.4 410.9 501.7 580.3 653.3 760.8 861.7 980.8 1114.0 1284.3 1483.4 1669.0 1889.4 2123.6 2428.3 2757.1 3090.8 3398.7 3686.0 3979.0 4260.0 4531.1 4797.1 5069.6 5373.9 5651.6 5929.7 6211.5 6458.0 6708.6 16.7 24.6 19.0 19.0 19.5 16.7 18.5 18.6 14.6 16.7 14.1 17.3 20.5 19.5 24.9 27.6 23.4 26.3 24.0 20.0 22.6 19.9 19.6 20.8 22.7 22.6 26.5 27.7 36.7 40.0 48.3 49.5 74.9 144.1 159.0 149.6 208.1 279.5 425.7 493.0 677.9 802.2 899.0 1106.6 1326.6 1547.4 1565.9 1664.0 1316.7 1306.8 886.4 874.2 448.7 482.1 534.5 656.9 819.6 1066.0 1266.7 1361.7 1553.6 1608.3 1665.3
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 21.0 20.8 20.8 21.2 44.8 47.4 46.5 48.4 50.1 49.2 48.2 49.3 47.8 50.3 47.5 46.1 46.4 50.0 46.3 51.4 51.5 45.4 45.8 49.9 49.5 53.5 58.0 51.2 54.5 58.0 69.3 106.4 269.8 340.9 419.2 499.5 578.5 655.0 756.7 864.8 975.1 1119.5 1298.3 1486.3 1688.9 1888.8 2139.9 2449.7 2777.9 3105.5 3415.8 3705.5 4001.4 4293.6 4567.1 4842.6 5131.8 5438.8 5739.1 6027.9 6308.3 6576.1 6839.6 16.7 24.6 19.0 19.0 19.6 17.2 19.5 18.3 14.7 14.8 13.3 16.9 20.4 18.6 24.9 27.2 24.5 25.5 24.9 19.8 22.4 20.9 18.7 20.4 22.2 22.2 24.6 26.1 32.3 37.1 48.1 52.7 72.6 151.3 168.4 171.5 210.4 267.0 410.4 475.9 661.7 796.5 898.7 1117.8 1339.9 1562.3 1582.7 1678.6 1328.4 1319.3 894.0 875.0 449.2 480.5 533.7 660.8 820.0 1067.9 1270.3 1362.8 1554.9 1608.8 1663.9
reslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 21.0 20.8 20.8 21.2 41.8 39.2 39.8 37.6 40.1 39.9 39.2 40.2 40.3 40.2 39.8 41.5 40.2 43.1 44.0 49.0 46.4 39.1 44.1 47.4 48.3 50.2 51.5 47.9 48.6 53.9 65.6 103.9 261.9 342.3 414.3 497.0 577.7 655.9 758.0 867.8 979.3 1097.1 1254.4 1429.5 1587.2 1776.0 2024.5 2325.4 2643.9 2956.8 3241.0 3500.4 3757.6 4029.2 4303.1 4602.9 4914.8 5258.4 5624.2 5998.4 6354.5 6669.6 6967.6 16.7 24.6 19.0 19.0 19.3 18.3 19.2 19.2 15.0 17.5 14.6 17.7 20.6 18.5 25.3 27.4 24.9 25.2 25.0 20.1 21.8 19.4 18.6 19.8 20.5 21.2 22.6 26.5 32.3 37.1 47.5 50.7 73.0 148.6 164.0 165.7 213.4 272.4 425.1 499.4 704.6 856.1 978.1 1205.5 1442.2 1665.9 1681.8 1754.2 1374.0 1330.8 878.1 832.4 415.9 449.0 497.6 637.2 793.1 1014.7 1225.5 1321.1 1500.8 1543.3 1565.7

PM-X [μas]

data all last 10
prediction day -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
baseline gps rapid-63d-iers-none 40.1 40.0 40.0 39.5 39.4 39.4 39.2 39.3 40.3 40.7 40.4 40.6 41.6 42.7 43.5 45.2 46.9 47.9 49.1 50.7 50.8 51.0 51.0 51.1 51.0 51.0 51.1 50.8 51.2 50.7 50.6 36.4 283.2 601.8 971.5 1353.3 1728.1 2073.7 2402.0 2700.4 2978.7 3264.3 3541.7 3804.0 4061.7 4318.6 4564.7 4807.6 5063.6 5318.2 5572.0 5817.4 6053.5 6276.0 6506.4 6737.0 6957.0 7169.8 7380.2 7586.9 7787.5 7985.5 8168.9 38.2 28.7 35.7 35.4 35.3 35.6 34.1 34.7 43.7 39.5 42.2 37.2 34.6 38.9 36.5 39.2 37.6 27.0 20.5 23.3 29.1 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.6 36.7 36.9 37.2 37.3 37.6 36.3 38.1 137.6 334.2 573.3 746.7 951.5 1172.7 1425.3 1943.4 2469.2 2995.7 3527.1 4042.0 4513.7 5069.6 5799.5 6613.2 7356.5 7687.0 8415.2 9033.1 9681.2 10090.2 10513.3 10926.9 11151.2 11247.2 11498.5 11873.5 12007.6 12236.3 12402.9
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 48.2 38.9 37.5 39.8 37.9 37.4 38.6 38.9 39.4 38.0 37.6 39.3 39.4 41.8 41.1 40.1 44.0 43.9 46.4 46.2 48.1 46.6 44.1 43.6 46.8 44.7 45.3 45.1 44.9 44.9 54.3 41.4 208.2 455.1 683.2 884.9 1070.4 1260.1 1439.5 1635.8 1870.0 2143.9 2440.6 2725.9 3000.0 3273.3 3542.3 3809.9 4079.5 4370.0 4657.9 4966.1 5251.4 5563.8 5873.0 6168.5 6449.5 6701.6 6928.8 7134.4 7336.1 7522.4 7711.6 41.2 39.2 39.6 29.3 40.6 34.7 39.6 42.5 53.6 24.9 24.5 37.6 37.1 34.5 24.4 28.5 28.3 30.5 33.8 35.6 28.9 47.0 43.8 39.8 43.5 41.2 39.2 36.4 30.2 35.5 32.2 35.7 102.8 348.6 547.4 527.8 834.2 1076.8 1621.2 1906.8 2455.9 2793.1 3247.7 3552.9 3981.5 4489.8 4614.1 4905.3 4129.1 4145.1 2912.4 3419.7 2683.1 2927.8 3048.9 3412.0 3511.9 3370.0 3191.6 3132.6 3600.0 4070.6 4604.5
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 53.1 53.8 52.5 52.4 52.6 51.0 51.3 50.5 53.1 51.6 51.7 52.1 52.7 54.6 53.4 55.5 57.2 55.8 60.0 60.6 59.3 58.5 58.4 58.1 58.4 57.1 56.9 57.0 57.4 57.5 63.8 46.8 210.9 450.1 678.0 883.6 1074.1 1266.1 1448.6 1644.5 1876.6 2145.1 2435.4 2722.4 3005.1 3295.7 3572.9 3837.8 4103.8 4392.6 4688.4 5004.4 5299.1 5614.7 5924.2 6221.2 6505.6 6767.7 7004.0 7214.2 7419.4 7616.1 7810.4 30.2 28.3 47.4 29.1 44.5 30.3 45.6 31.8 49.8 32.2 54.5 31.1 30.3 29.8 29.1 32.5 28.2 32.3 22.0 29.0 19.5 28.9 19.9 26.5 30.3 29.7 21.8 35.9 27.7 39.5 33.0 35.5 107.0 368.1 529.5 533.4 828.0 1091.6 1627.0 1924.2 2454.7 2815.8 3253.5 3573.6 3991.0 4484.9 4599.4 4903.0 4103.1 4123.1 2898.6 3388.9 2664.7 2900.3 3032.8 3396.3 3494.1 3361.5 3160.0 3108.4 3587.4 4043.7 4579.2
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 50.3 50.4 50.6 50.5 49.8 50.0 50.8 49.4 50.6 50.5 50.8 49.5 49.9 51.5 51.0 50.8 53.3 50.4 53.8 53.3 51.3 50.0 50.5 50.7 50.4 49.4 50.6 49.3 50.0 50.8 56.6 43.9 216.2 471.8 710.8 928.4 1131.1 1334.1 1538.7 1781.5 2057.7 2366.1 2684.9 3006.1 3325.5 3642.8 3950.9 4273.6 4572.6 4877.3 5189.9 5541.9 5886.5 6234.3 6590.6 6942.7 7268.5 7580.6 7877.1 8150.3 8424.3 8714.1 8999.6 44.1 25.7 40.4 35.7 33.0 20.4 36.2 32.0 40.3 37.6 36.8 34.0 29.6 27.6 32.5 34.2 33.7 27.0 25.1 29.4 28.3 22.7 19.6 26.4 23.5 29.5 24.0 28.8 27.4 41.8 23.7 32.6 108.8 363.2 499.8 602.7 882.2 1097.0 1594.7 1931.9 2378.0 2770.2 3109.2 3516.1 3855.8 4355.1 4507.9 4847.7 4146.4 4301.1 3092.8 3348.2 2299.3 2057.6 2242.2 2699.6 2832.2 2657.6 2468.8 2745.7 3190.3 3444.2 3339.1
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers 58.4 46.9 45.2 47.8 45.0 44.1 46.1 47.5 46.8 45.2 45.2 46.6 46.4 50.2 49.7 47.3 51.7 51.8 55.1 55.0 57.1 54.7 51.6 51.6 55.8 53.0 53.3 53.1 52.9 52.8 64.5 48.7 245.7 551.9 841.3 1095.1 1325.9 1554.3 1762.5 1986.3 2255.1 2559.9 2893.8 3204.3 3493.4 3791.5 4089.7 4381.7 4694.4 5060.3 5420.2 5818.2 6176.7 6584.5 6986.3 7365.7 7725.5 8053.0 8346.1 8612.5 8862.5 9097.9 9341.2 41.2 34.9 33.9 30.0 39.5 37.6 38.9 41.7 45.8 21.5 30.4 38.5 31.6 31.4 23.9 31.2 27.4 30.8 27.3 33.7 26.8 46.7 41.2 44.8 46.4 43.5 36.8 37.4 32.2 35.1 30.2 38.1 104.5 352.4 541.2 524.6 839.1 1077.0 1624.2 1908.4 2456.0 2787.8 3247.6 3548.1 3985.7 4486.9 4610.5 4906.6 4129.0 4139.9 2916.0 3414.7 2687.5 2927.7 3053.4 3413.2 3517.9 3371.6 3188.7 3133.0 3600.8 4067.6 4606.3
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers20 54.2 55.3 53.2 52.2 53.4 50.7 51.7 49.8 53.2 52.4 52.8 52.4 54.2 54.9 53.0 53.2 56.3 54.5 59.1 59.6 57.7 56.0 54.9 55.7 55.3 54.0 54.5 55.6 54.6 56.2 64.3 55.5 250.1 546.4 830.4 1083.8 1315.0 1539.7 1749.3 1973.5 2239.3 2539.1 2867.1 3180.7 3481.1 3802.9 4114.0 4409.1 4720.2 5082.4 5455.0 5860.5 6225.9 6639.0 7042.9 7427.7 7794.9 8132.3 8429.9 8697.4 8946.5 9184.1 9422.8 31.1 27.1 47.3 33.3 41.1 28.3 42.9 29.6 50.4 30.0 56.2 31.0 34.5 29.6 26.4 33.1 29.5 26.4 20.3 25.7 17.9 23.8 18.1 26.3 26.6 29.9 25.4 36.0 27.8 42.3 33.2 36.4 110.9 366.7 531.1 531.9 828.2 1092.7 1627.3 1926.7 2458.1 2819.3 3254.9 3579.2 3989.8 4483.4 4598.1 4896.9 4102.7 4121.9 2899.1 3394.3 2664.8 2902.4 3028.1 3393.0 3499.1 3356.5 3162.1 3109.6 3586.7 4042.9 4582.7
reslearner full ensemble iers 37.1 33.3 32.8 33.9 34.4 33.1 33.6 32.5 33.3 31.7 33.2 33.6 33.5 36.7 36.1 38.1 41.5 40.4 44.1 44.1 43.0 42.9 42.6 42.2 42.5 41.6 41.9 40.5 42.6 41.9 49.0 38.3 191.8 416.2 622.9 822.5 1015.0 1209.3 1399.1 1612.1 1844.1 2089.6 2339.0 2587.4 2839.7 3081.7 3314.8 3536.3 3753.0 3971.0 4201.2 4448.1 4679.2 4896.9 5113.3 5334.5 5540.2 5722.1 5882.0 6037.3 6174.0 6326.8 6476.1 54.9 47.6 55.1 63.7 49.0 29.9 37.3 57.1 51.4 50.0 34.9 39.8 47.9 53.2 45.1 53.6 48.7 60.4 86.5 99.5 94.1 89.2 72.6 68.9 59.4 55.2 63.5 47.9 58.1 76.4 73.0 56.6 371.6 922.2 1300.5 1553.6 1733.1 2019.3 2375.6 2864.3 3354.7 3645.0 4027.7 4244.0 4532.5 4602.9 4381.5 3981.2 3793.5 4008.7 4278.1 4436.2 4315.7 4059.1 3829.8 3624.2 3879.7 4183.6 4274.0 4261.9 4241.7 4188.2 3942.5
reslearner full ensemble iers20 42.9 41.3 40.0 39.8 39.8 38.0 38.2 37.2 39.4 39.1 38.7 39.3 39.9 42.1 41.4 42.8 46.0 45.8 50.1 50.3 49.3 48.5 47.3 47.3 47.5 46.0 46.7 45.2 47.6 47.9 55.0 41.0 195.9 424.7 632.8 832.1 1020.1 1213.6 1402.9 1612.1 1838.0 2083.8 2341.1 2598.8 2859.0 3105.9 3344.5 3579.2 3811.2 4043.9 4286.2 4546.2 4786.7 5019.6 5249.5 5477.4 5682.3 5863.1 6025.0 6181.2 6319.4 6474.5 6628.2 40.1 45.1 37.2 35.1 33.9 30.0 45.1 41.6 25.4 23.9 27.9 26.1 34.4 54.8 35.0 25.2 26.1 37.7 55.2 54.2 38.7 28.6 34.5 36.0 35.5 37.1 36.2 47.8 42.6 41.4 53.5 28.0 193.0 458.6 670.0 855.4 881.7 918.7 959.3 1038.1 1202.0 1471.7 1837.5 2194.6 2378.2 2574.5 2869.3 3279.8 3672.1 4035.6 4554.4 5157.6 5720.8 6283.8 6813.3 7300.4 7792.3 8253.3 8617.2 8827.6 8991.9 9177.7 9380.0
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 47.3 38.3 36.8 39.4 37.5 36.4 37.8 38.3 38.3 36.9 37.1 38.1 38.1 40.8 40.3 39.6 43.0 42.6 45.0 45.6 47.0 45.5 43.1 43.0 45.6 43.9 44.3 44.2 44.7 43.8 54.0 40.5 207.7 455.8 686.9 890.4 1080.1 1270.4 1450.2 1646.1 1879.0 2150.9 2445.0 2728.9 3001.2 3273.9 3541.4 3805.3 4070.9 4358.4 4642.3 4951.1 5240.9 5556.3 5866.7 6163.1 6445.7 6700.2 6932.3 7141.8 7347.3 7535.0 7737.8 41.1 34.9 33.9 30.0 39.4 37.5 38.8 41.7 45.7 21.5 30.4 38.4 31.6 31.4 23.9 31.2 27.4 30.7 27.3 33.6 26.7 46.7 41.1 44.7 46.3 43.4 36.7 37.3 32.2 35.1 30.1 37.5 106.4 352.0 550.3 513.6 848.2 1074.9 1611.3 1912.4 2455.0 2791.2 3249.2 3547.6 3983.9 4485.0 4607.9 4904.2 4127.9 4139.3 2917.3 3417.3 2691.3 2935.6 3061.6 3419.4 3524.1 3377.9 3195.4 3142.6 3607.5 4073.9 4612.0
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 52.8 52.8 51.3 51.0 52.0 50.1 50.0 49.7 52.1 50.9 51.3 51.0 52.3 53.6 52.9 54.0 56.5 55.4 59.0 59.5 58.5 57.7 57.5 57.5 57.2 56.3 56.4 56.3 56.2 57.1 63.3 46.8 210.1 449.7 676.2 880.3 1071.3 1261.3 1442.3 1638.8 1872.3 2137.5 2426.5 2713.0 2994.3 3289.9 3567.7 3833.2 4099.6 4387.5 4682.2 4996.3 5289.6 5608.1 5920.3 6219.4 6505.6 6766.6 7001.0 7210.1 7413.4 7607.4 7806.1 31.1 27.1 47.3 33.3 41.1 28.3 42.9 29.6 50.4 30.0 56.2 30.9 34.5 29.6 26.4 33.1 29.5 26.4 20.3 25.6 17.9 23.8 18.0 26.3 26.5 29.8 25.3 36.0 27.8 42.3 33.2 37.2 108.6 361.6 527.6 523.3 835.2 1087.4 1619.3 1930.2 2456.1 2820.9 3252.0 3578.6 3988.0 4481.5 4595.6 4894.6 4101.7 4121.4 2900.4 3396.9 2668.7 2910.4 3036.4 3399.4 3505.5 3363.1 3169.1 3119.5 3593.7 4049.5 4588.6
reslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 49.6 49.8 50.0 49.8 49.2 49.8 49.8 49.6 50.0 49.5 49.8 48.7 49.3 50.5 50.0 49.9 52.8 50.2 52.9 52.8 50.6 49.1 49.2 49.8 49.4 48.8 50.1 48.7 48.9 49.7 55.5 43.0 318.2 639.5 988.3 1285.6 1639.3 1941.0 2221.2 2457.9 2714.0 3062.1 3275.6 3532.6 3819.0 4100.8 4377.8 4645.5 4929.3 5206.9 5478.2 5749.6 6005.4 6238.6 6489.8 6740.6 6968.0 7207.6 7410.0 7648.0 7865.4 8070.0 8288.2 43.5 25.0 40.3 37.9 33.7 22.9 31.8 28.9 37.6 35.0 37.8 32.3 30.9 28.2 29.8 34.4 30.0 26.3 23.2 20.0 30.2 22.0 19.5 25.0 21.8 30.7 24.0 30.4 25.2 37.3 31.1 36.2 2756.7 5534.7 8005.8 3877.8 8070.9 10239.6 12089.9 8796.2 6477.5 15021.5 5535.5 3951.8 4450.4 5012.6 5767.5 6591.9 7372.9 7716.2 8485.6 9121.7 9727.7 10196.9 10544.2 10916.8 11079.6 11163.9 11428.0 11798.9 11867.4 12071.2 12277.0

PM-Y [μas]

data all last 10
prediction day -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
baseline gps rapid-63d-iers-none 36.9 37.5 37.3 37.1 37.7 38.0 38.6 38.1 38.0 36.8 37.0 37.3 36.3 36.2 36.9 37.3 37.9 38.7 39.0 39.0 39.1 39.1 39.1 38.9 39.1 38.8 38.5 38.2 37.9 38.1 41.4 44.9 203.9 405.3 640.5 887.3 1109.4 1315.3 1508.9 1680.3 1842.9 1993.0 2140.0 2289.2 2437.3 2591.5 2758.0 2919.5 3078.8 3245.3 3413.2 3581.1 3744.6 3900.0 4059.3 4218.5 4373.1 4527.9 4685.7 4846.7 5004.5 5160.1 5306.8 26.6 38.0 37.7 37.7 37.7 37.5 37.9 37.7 37.0 35.7 34.8 26.6 25.7 24.1 25.0 29.3 26.2 27.8 30.7 26.9 29.1 26.4 26.4 26.4 26.3 26.3 26.5 26.4 26.8 26.8 27.3 35.6 137.3 332.1 624.4 923.7 1245.1 1615.4 1937.9 2023.2 2113.2 2231.9 2165.1 2060.5 2023.5 1954.2 1839.4 1459.9 1141.6 985.8 1159.1 1368.6 1453.2 1589.9 1856.6 2007.0 1981.3 2020.0 2065.2 2289.1 2257.7 2479.0 2837.3
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 44.5 39.2 40.1 40.9 44.3 44.6 42.3 40.9 40.6 41.0 42.6 41.7 41.7 41.8 41.1 39.9 39.9 40.5 39.8 39.7 42.5 40.7 40.5 41.8 39.9 39.1 39.3 39.4 37.5 41.7 45.3 37.6 169.4 338.6 495.6 650.1 792.7 940.3 1088.5 1251.3 1409.6 1569.3 1735.8 1903.9 2060.9 2204.4 2332.5 2440.7 2544.2 2652.9 2758.7 2863.5 2969.8 3059.7 3160.4 3273.9 3394.7 3503.1 3583.1 3672.2 3767.5 3865.1 3954.4 47.2 35.4 39.6 34.1 46.0 32.9 48.4 29.4 41.8 40.7 36.1 38.0 35.1 47.7 41.8 38.2 34.2 39.7 40.2 35.5 41.4 31.5 32.6 36.4 41.7 29.4 55.9 35.9 43.5 29.8 41.7 34.1 57.3 284.1 487.3 772.5 1150.7 1383.9 1581.1 1546.6 1585.4 1752.5 1935.7 2281.1 2688.1 2689.7 2790.7 2843.5 2724.0 2908.1 3341.8 3580.0 3870.2 4219.9 4460.0 5202.0 6087.1 6807.6 7625.8 8210.1 8243.0 8387.0 8564.5
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 52.6 51.3 52.1 52.3 54.0 53.9 53.8 52.3 52.4 53.1 55.2 54.8 53.3 53.5 52.9 52.2 50.7 52.3 49.0 47.1 47.4 45.9 46.3 47.5 47.4 47.1 46.1 45.9 45.7 45.7 49.8 39.0 171.5 338.0 496.5 649.1 798.0 943.3 1089.9 1255.2 1412.0 1569.5 1734.6 1901.4 2051.8 2193.3 2318.8 2428.6 2530.4 2641.9 2752.3 2855.1 2963.1 3063.2 3177.9 3298.2 3419.4 3528.4 3606.5 3688.6 3775.3 3870.2 3963.6 60.4 54.8 56.3 37.6 66.0 41.5 63.9 44.7 57.0 44.5 53.2 41.0 44.2 38.1 44.4 44.9 29.0 38.3 22.4 33.3 22.2 27.5 23.6 42.9 32.6 36.0 21.3 45.8 41.8 40.5 32.0 52.6 61.1 274.9 493.4 762.7 1143.9 1364.3 1579.7 1560.9 1601.9 1755.5 1954.3 2297.0 2714.6 2713.6 2799.6 2870.8 2733.2 2920.5 3340.4 3578.0 3858.6 4214.8 4448.8 5197.6 6087.4 6796.4 7597.5 8191.8 8223.1 8370.8 8555.8
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 49.0 47.9 48.3 48.8 49.8 50.0 50.0 49.3 49.5 49.0 50.5 50.1 49.7 50.4 50.2 48.4 49.2 50.0 47.7 46.8 47.6 46.3 47.4 47.4 46.7 47.6 46.0 44.8 46.0 46.0 49.2 40.4 174.1 350.0 521.2 682.4 833.7 984.0 1144.4 1323.7 1500.4 1681.9 1869.9 2054.2 2232.7 2389.7 2533.3 2671.9 2799.5 2934.5 3066.4 3185.8 3299.8 3398.1 3507.2 3638.4 3775.0 3906.7 4029.1 4147.6 4275.7 4405.8 4516.4 35.2 50.9 57.6 40.2 51.6 35.7 47.4 39.4 46.4 30.7 49.0 31.2 39.5 22.7 47.7 35.1 41.5 28.1 24.8 38.3 30.7 36.8 47.9 35.6 43.9 43.8 42.2 44.3 36.3 38.7 48.6 43.6 64.6 246.3 455.6 671.3 1028.8 1183.0 1346.5 1237.6 1219.2 1351.1 1603.1 1786.5 2069.8 2046.6 2144.9 2050.5 2170.9 2100.7 2300.0 2603.4 2861.9 3093.6 3428.5 4060.0 4645.4 5159.2 5827.5 5947.3 6052.3 6227.9 6323.4
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers 52.9 46.5 49.0 49.8 54.9 54.9 51.5 51.5 48.9 49.0 50.3 50.2 50.2 50.4 49.2 47.4 47.3 48.2 47.4 48.0 51.4 50.1 48.5 51.3 48.6 48.1 48.2 46.9 43.8 50.4 54.4 41.1 201.6 412.5 612.6 813.5 992.2 1177.8 1360.7 1570.0 1770.4 1962.7 2160.7 2362.9 2549.7 2716.8 2861.5 2991.1 3107.9 3228.2 3345.9 3456.6 3569.7 3665.4 3772.4 3901.3 4038.1 4157.4 4238.6 4326.9 4419.6 4512.4 4600.0 50.1 31.5 42.5 33.3 47.1 34.5 48.2 32.5 43.2 42.9 32.0 39.7 28.5 48.0 34.2 38.0 35.0 35.2 41.2 32.0 37.0 31.5 36.2 33.8 39.6 31.0 50.5 34.1 40.5 28.7 37.9 34.6 60.3 284.4 486.0 770.4 1148.7 1385.6 1581.6 1547.9 1583.4 1758.2 1939.2 2285.9 2691.9 2687.4 2787.1 2848.0 2724.2 2907.8 3341.8 3582.3 3867.4 4216.8 4459.3 5197.2 6091.0 6808.1 7621.1 8210.4 8240.8 8386.5 8563.6
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers20 56.0 55.3 55.6 56.6 59.3 58.6 58.1 56.5 56.0 57.9 59.2 58.7 57.8 56.5 55.6 54.5 54.7 55.5 51.7 48.7 49.0 47.4 47.3 49.8 50.6 49.4 49.0 48.8 47.7 48.7 53.8 45.0 201.2 404.7 603.9 798.5 981.8 1163.4 1347.1 1558.2 1758.1 1947.5 2139.8 2339.9 2515.8 2681.7 2829.6 2963.4 3078.4 3203.8 3329.8 3441.3 3556.6 3665.6 3795.0 3939.2 4076.0 4192.6 4268.1 4342.2 4417.4 4501.1 4587.4 58.7 52.6 55.1 39.3 62.7 40.3 58.0 45.9 51.1 44.6 58.5 46.4 51.0 34.1 46.7 41.1 32.1 35.3 22.9 33.3 27.4 31.8 24.2 41.9 30.1 36.9 24.0 40.7 34.0 40.4 36.3 53.3 65.4 276.8 490.8 764.0 1142.0 1368.4 1579.0 1563.4 1607.8 1759.8 1950.2 2298.1 2707.2 2717.6 2803.7 2870.7 2733.7 2923.9 3342.3 3580.2 3855.3 4210.9 4453.9 5193.0 6084.8 6799.1 7599.6 8193.6 8226.6 8370.3 8559.2
reslearner full ensemble iers 35.8 31.8 32.7 32.2 34.5 34.9 33.0 32.3 33.0 33.1 35.8 35.7 35.2 35.2 35.2 34.8 34.6 34.7 33.7 32.8 34.0 32.5 32.9 33.2 32.7 32.7 31.4 32.1 31.7 33.1 35.6 34.5 142.3 276.6 392.4 500.2 617.8 741.6 877.6 1011.9 1132.5 1255.0 1393.0 1549.7 1699.2 1840.7 1965.4 2084.7 2206.7 2335.4 2458.1 2570.0 2674.5 2760.4 2849.9 2942.8 3048.1 3159.7 3253.5 3359.8 3472.1 3581.0 3690.4 66.7 41.1 50.4 47.9 60.1 66.2 53.2 62.5 52.5 51.0 73.7 64.5 66.0 64.2 79.0 56.5 53.5 50.0 59.4 79.8 68.9 66.6 66.0 50.7 71.2 58.1 59.7 40.4 44.7 59.8 79.8 64.2 234.2 400.5 520.9 806.6 1223.1 1637.9 1907.2 2056.8 2026.4 2044.0 2083.0 2251.7 2161.9 1822.2 1538.9 1459.4 1589.8 1966.5 2288.4 2443.2 2377.6 2378.3 2575.3 2864.1 3073.9 3127.5 3142.7 3069.6 3095.4 3173.3 3251.2
reslearner full ensemble iers20 41.9 38.4 39.7 39.7 43.0 44.0 42.0 41.0 41.4 41.2 43.6 44.3 42.6 42.5 42.9 41.8 41.9 42.8 41.0 40.3 41.3 40.0 39.9 40.2 40.8 40.7 38.8 38.4 37.4 38.6 41.8 39.1 150.1 293.9 416.5 530.9 652.4 780.1 918.7 1053.6 1178.0 1300.9 1437.1 1589.4 1731.0 1866.9 1982.4 2088.4 2196.8 2314.2 2437.6 2549.2 2651.7 2739.7 2839.4 2939.6 3046.2 3155.4 3247.4 3347.0 3445.8 3544.2 3644.8 48.7 45.4 55.4 47.3 53.2 57.8 69.4 61.7 57.3 63.0 65.6 62.2 75.1 59.5 58.6 48.1 48.9 44.1 46.2 46.4 42.2 42.6 56.8 53.6 63.5 60.4 64.9 65.1 49.8 59.9 66.2 40.6 257.7 632.4 941.2 1211.0 1455.0 1567.8 1578.2 1587.4 1652.4 1818.2 2074.9 2376.3 2568.8 2714.6 2702.5 2652.5 2495.9 2298.0 2230.5 2227.6 2187.2 2186.7 2228.7 2215.0 2110.8 2090.0 2185.3 2324.9 2430.0 2480.8 2559.6
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 43.6 37.9 39.3 40.2 43.6 44.0 41.1 40.5 39.3 39.9 41.4 40.7 40.6 40.7 40.1 39.0 38.7 39.4 38.8 38.4 40.9 39.8 39.3 41.1 38.9 38.4 38.4 38.4 36.2 40.6 44.3 36.7 170.2 341.5 500.4 657.7 801.8 948.8 1097.5 1261.8 1420.0 1579.5 1747.6 1915.5 2072.4 2213.8 2336.4 2442.7 2545.6 2651.9 2756.5 2859.2 2967.4 3059.4 3162.8 3276.9 3399.2 3508.8 3589.5 3680.1 3775.6 3871.3 3966.4 50.1 31.5 42.4 33.2 47.1 34.5 48.1 32.5 43.2 42.8 32.0 39.7 28.5 47.9 34.2 37.9 34.9 35.1 41.1 32.0 36.9 31.4 36.1 33.7 39.5 30.9 50.4 34.1 40.4 28.7 37.9 31.7 58.0 293.2 493.5 776.9 1142.0 1369.5 1579.9 1543.5 1581.6 1751.2 1937.2 2285.3 2691.1 2686.8 2785.7 2846.9 2722.5 2906.3 3340.0 3580.5 3865.5 4214.7 4457.0 5194.3 6087.3 6803.6 7615.9 8204.9 8235.2 8381.0 8558.4
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 51.3 50.7 51.1 51.2 53.4 53.1 52.7 51.4 51.2 52.4 54.2 53.6 53.0 52.5 51.8 51.1 50.4 50.9 48.4 46.4 46.6 45.1 45.1 46.6 46.9 46.2 45.5 45.3 44.5 45.0 48.8 38.2 172.0 339.1 497.5 649.9 797.2 942.9 1090.3 1255.9 1414.2 1570.4 1732.5 1897.3 2047.7 2189.5 2315.2 2427.0 2531.4 2643.6 2754.8 2857.6 2965.4 3067.2 3184.6 3306.9 3428.6 3537.0 3613.2 3693.1 3776.5 3867.9 3962.8 58.6 52.6 55.0 39.3 62.6 40.3 57.9 45.9 51.1 44.6 58.4 46.3 50.9 34.1 46.7 41.0 32.1 35.3 22.9 33.3 27.4 31.8 24.2 41.9 30.1 36.9 24.0 40.7 34.0 40.3 36.4 50.5 65.3 277.4 487.5 754.6 1146.0 1370.5 1568.5 1555.0 1604.1 1755.1 1951.8 2299.1 2706.5 2717.0 2802.2 2869.6 2732.0 2922.4 3340.6 3578.4 3853.3 4208.7 4451.5 5190.0 6081.0 6794.6 7594.4 8188.0 8221.0 8364.9 8554.0
reslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 47.6 47.0 47.6 48.0 48.9 49.3 49.3 48.6 48.7 48.3 49.9 49.5 49.0 49.6 49.6 47.7 48.9 49.0 47.0 46.6 46.9 45.8 46.7 47.2 45.9 46.8 45.1 44.1 45.7 45.7 48.6 39.1 257.4 528.0 655.3 872.1 1123.3 1262.3 1421.9 1563.6 1754.4 1855.3 1994.7 2096.9 2216.0 2365.5 2525.3 2681.9 2830.7 2996.1 3159.9 3329.5 3484.3 3638.1 3784.6 3939.8 4082.1 4233.8 4386.3 4544.6 4692.5 4832.0 4995.7 35.5 49.6 51.8 42.6 51.3 38.5 46.9 37.8 48.4 32.4 46.6 31.4 41.6 26.2 45.4 32.3 39.5 29.7 25.6 34.1 31.9 37.9 42.1 43.7 45.2 47.4 38.8 42.4 43.6 40.7 51.3 45.7 1934.6 16486.6 6191.3 5296.4 12903.7 9274.6 8004.7 7984.2 14134.8 9682.8 9926.2 4681.9 2374.0 2308.2 2104.2 1734.3 1549.5 1433.6 1658.0 1886.0 2091.2 2208.9 2422.5 2562.5 2720.6 2756.0 2821.6 3034.8 3025.7 3344.6 3712.4