IGPSRAPID REPORT

2024-11-17
processed at SPACE-PC01 (Python 3.11.9)
version 3b30ef0

List of all methods


Mean prediction accuracy

dUT1 [μs]

data all last 10
prediction day -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
baseline gps rapid-63d-iers-none 21.0 20.8 20.9 21.2 21.1 21.1 21.5 21.4 21.0 20.9 21.0 21.5 21.8 22.0 22.3 22.5 22.8 23.0 23.8 24.3 24.5 24.3 24.6 24.8 25.1 25.1 25.4 25.9 27.3 28.4 33.2 52.0 68.0 91.6 120.3 152.2 188.2 227.2 271.3 318.7 373.7 438.1 515.5 604.1 704.5 815.2 939.2 1076.3 1224.0 1379.8 1541.0 1708.2 1878.7 2048.7 2218.9 2386.4 2552.0 2714.4 2874.5 3032.6 3188.5 3344.2 3495.8 20.5 14.3 15.4 15.5 15.2 15.2 15.0 14.9 14.9 14.9 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.9 14.9 14.9 14.9 14.8 14.3 16.8 19.3 19.4 19.3 20.2 22.4 23.1 23.2 25.3 25.4 23.6 26.3 33.5 57.5 104.4 183.8 259.6 345.6 414.5 494.3 562.0 625.1 722.5 847.5 1047.4 1204.2 1334.3 1282.5 1305.5 1264.4 1276.7 1285.0 1231.6 1121.6 987.4 824.4 624.4 515.3 321.8 170.6 248.1 448.9 657.7 769.9
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 21.1 20.8 20.9 21.2 42.9 42.4 43.1 44.2 45.1 44.3 42.7 46.3 41.2 44.7 45.2 44.9 47.1 48.4 46.5 50.5 48.5 43.1 48.4 51.1 50.8 51.4 61.4 51.3 53.2 60.1 69.6 112.7 276.9 340.8 415.7 507.2 586.0 659.8 768.3 870.3 990.1 1124.3 1296.0 1496.5 1682.6 1904.3 2141.4 2450.7 2788.0 3127.7 3444.2 3735.0 4033.6 4315.3 4587.8 4854.8 5129.5 5436.2 5716.1 5997.7 6282.5 6536.3 6783.8 20.5 14.3 15.4 15.9 14.6 13.7 13.6 13.6 10.4 15.1 12.0 14.2 8.9 14.9 11.5 18.8 25.0 20.9 26.6 26.4 28.8 27.5 22.7 23.2 24.2 24.2 28.9 37.1 31.8 27.5 21.7 28.9 80.3 111.7 173.2 227.7 298.7 369.3 457.8 546.0 647.3 785.2 949.0 1221.3 1493.6 1812.4 2025.9 2345.0 2632.4 2857.5 3013.6 3045.6 3035.4 2798.0 2713.1 2631.7 2760.1 2864.7 2992.1 3278.2 3596.5 3869.4 4084.6
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 21.1 20.8 20.9 21.2 45.0 47.6 46.8 48.6 50.4 49.5 48.5 49.6 48.0 50.6 47.7 46.3 46.5 50.2 46.5 51.8 51.8 45.7 46.0 50.2 49.8 53.9 58.4 51.5 54.7 58.2 69.6 107.2 273.4 344.5 423.1 503.9 583.2 660.1 762.7 871.3 982.0 1127.1 1307.0 1496.9 1700.4 1901.8 2156.1 2470.3 2806.8 3139.8 3457.9 3749.9 4050.0 4341.4 4614.7 4889.5 5179.2 5486.6 5787.5 6078.3 6360.4 6628.7 6887.2 20.8 14.0 15.7 15.6 15.9 15.3 13.9 14.4 13.5 16.5 13.8 12.1 12.6 15.4 14.4 18.8 20.2 17.4 23.6 29.6 25.4 30.1 22.6 25.2 23.6 25.2 26.8 37.3 32.4 30.5 22.6 29.8 83.4 112.2 173.2 228.6 299.5 368.2 455.7 544.4 645.5 783.3 947.5 1219.3 1491.5 1809.3 2023.7 2342.4 2630.6 2856.4 3012.4 3044.0 3034.9 2797.4 2711.7 2631.1 2760.0 2864.0 2990.4 3276.3 3594.8 3867.0 4082.6
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 21.1 20.8 20.9 21.2 42.0 39.4 40.0 37.8 40.3 40.2 39.4 40.4 40.4 40.3 39.8 41.6 40.3 43.3 44.3 49.4 46.7 39.3 44.3 47.7 48.4 50.3 51.6 48.1 48.7 54.0 65.8 104.5 265.5 346.2 418.4 501.6 582.4 661.4 764.0 874.5 986.2 1104.6 1262.8 1438.4 1596.2 1785.6 2037.2 2342.4 2668.9 2986.9 3279.1 3541.1 3802.7 4074.2 4349.0 4649.9 4964.4 5311.0 5680.2 6059.2 6419.3 6743.2 7038.9 20.6 14.8 15.0 15.2 16.2 14.3 16.4 15.1 14.9 17.4 16.0 12.1 12.8 14.8 16.4 18.1 17.8 15.5 17.6 20.1 21.8 19.1 16.4 15.7 19.8 13.8 18.6 26.4 27.0 24.2 24.0 31.3 76.0 102.2 158.6 211.1 274.1 337.9 420.2 506.8 603.9 733.8 889.1 1156.1 1424.2 1727.1 1915.3 2203.3 2452.9 2645.8 2773.6 2767.2 2721.4 2445.0 2328.2 2229.7 2354.9 2464.0 2603.9 2897.3 3220.7 3524.2 3761.0
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers 23.8 23.2 23.3 23.7 23.5 23.3 23.5 23.3 23.1 23.2 23.3 24.0 24.4 24.8 25.1 25.0 25.3 25.0 25.5 26.0 26.3 25.9 26.1 26.0 26.4 26.5 27.1 27.7 29.5 30.3 34.6 55.0 70.4 90.3 115.3 144.1 177.3 216.0 261.2 310.0 364.9 430.3 507.1 595.0 696.7 811.5 938.0 1073.7 1217.9 1371.9 1531.2 1692.4 1851.8 2010.6 2168.4 2322.2 2473.5 2619.3 2763.0 2906.8 3047.8 3187.6 3330.8 20.5 14.3 15.4 15.5 15.2 15.1 15.0 14.9 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.7 14.7 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.2 16.7 19.2 19.3 19.2 20.0 22.3 23.0 23.1 25.3 25.3 23.6 26.2 33.5 55.3 100.2 177.3 254.2 343.5 417.8 505.1 583.0 660.2 776.8 926.3 1154.9 1345.3 1515.5 1509.3 1577.3 1578.3 1566.4 1528.8 1410.9 1221.2 1018.2 787.4 567.7 557.6 445.6 443.3 608.0 832.6 1066.2 1213.6
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers20 23.8 23.2 23.3 23.7 23.5 23.3 23.5 23.4 23.2 23.2 23.3 24.0 24.4 24.8 25.1 25.0 25.3 25.0 25.5 26.0 26.3 25.9 26.1 26.0 26.4 26.5 27.1 27.7 29.5 30.3 34.6 55.0 70.4 90.3 115.3 144.1 177.4 216.2 261.4 310.3 365.1 430.6 507.3 595.2 696.9 811.7 938.2 1073.9 1218.1 1372.1 1531.5 1692.6 1852.0 2010.8 2168.6 2322.4 2473.6 2619.4 2763.0 2906.7 3047.6 3187.4 3330.5 20.5 14.3 15.4 15.5 15.2 15.1 15.0 14.9 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.7 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.2 16.7 19.2 19.3 19.2 20.1 22.3 23.1 23.2 25.3 25.3 23.6 26.3 33.5 55.3 100.2 177.4 254.3 343.6 418.0 505.3 583.2 660.3 776.9 926.4 1155.0 1345.4 1515.6 1509.3 1577.4 1578.4 1566.3 1528.7 1410.9 1221.2 1018.2 787.4 567.9 557.8 446.0 443.6 608.3 832.9 1066.5 1213.9
reslearner full ensemble iers 20.9 20.8 20.9 21.2 38.6 37.6 38.1 38.3 39.6 39.1 37.8 39.1 37.7 39.2 38.6 38.6 38.6 42.2 41.0 45.3 43.0 37.7 40.8 44.8 44.4 46.0 50.5 44.6 46.4 51.2 61.0 97.6 223.6 285.7 353.7 428.5 498.6 567.3 656.6 751.5 850.4 966.0 1121.5 1292.3 1456.5 1631.6 1849.9 2119.7 2412.3 2703.2 2974.1 3223.8 3472.7 3717.2 3957.2 4202.7 4468.9 4746.1 5019.1 5292.7 5563.0 5807.8 6040.6 20.5 14.3 15.5 15.7 15.7 15.1 14.8 13.4 14.3 13.2 10.1 8.9 11.1 13.0 15.4 19.1 18.8 19.1 23.7 24.1 23.1 20.9 16.6 18.7 19.3 17.4 25.4 34.5 31.8 25.5 23.3 29.5 67.9 106.3 175.3 238.6 313.5 380.7 463.7 543.6 629.5 751.1 899.9 1146.4 1380.8 1636.6 1762.1 1979.9 2154.4 2258.5 2309.5 2261.9 2208.7 1976.1 1873.1 1778.9 1891.8 1955.1 2048.3 2297.2 2584.6 2848.7 3042.6
reslearner full ensemble iers20 20.9 20.8 20.9 21.2 38.8 37.8 38.1 38.4 39.8 39.2 37.9 39.2 37.8 39.4 38.7 38.7 38.7 42.3 41.1 45.4 43.1 37.8 40.9 44.9 44.5 46.1 50.8 44.7 46.6 51.4 61.2 97.8 224.2 286.2 354.1 428.7 498.8 567.8 656.9 751.9 850.6 966.3 1121.5 1292.5 1456.7 1631.8 1850.2 2120.1 2413.0 2704.3 2975.3 3225.2 3474.3 3719.0 3959.4 4205.2 4471.6 4749.3 5022.6 5296.9 5567.7 5812.9 6046.4 20.5 14.3 15.5 15.7 15.7 15.1 14.9 13.4 14.3 13.3 10.1 8.9 11.1 13.1 15.5 19.3 19.0 19.3 24.0 24.2 23.3 21.1 16.8 18.7 19.3 17.5 25.7 34.7 31.9 25.5 23.3 29.5 67.9 106.3 175.3 238.6 313.5 380.7 463.7 543.6 629.5 751.1 899.9 1146.3 1380.7 1636.5 1762.1 1980.0 2154.4 2258.6 2309.6 2262.0 2208.7 1976.2 1873.2 1779.0 1891.8 1955.3 2048.4 2297.3 2584.5 2848.6 3042.4
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 20.6 20.8 20.9 21.2 42.7 42.5 43.5 44.5 45.1 44.0 42.6 46.2 41.1 44.5 45.2 44.8 46.9 48.1 46.4 50.3 48.4 43.0 48.2 51.1 50.7 51.3 61.4 51.2 53.0 60.0 69.5 112.7 276.4 340.0 414.8 506.3 585.4 658.5 766.8 868.4 987.9 1121.9 1293.4 1493.5 1679.4 1900.9 2137.7 2446.4 2783.1 3122.2 3438.2 3728.5 4026.6 4307.7 4579.6 4846.2 5120.3 5426.2 5705.4 5986.2 6270.0 6517.7 6769.9 20.5 14.3 15.4 15.5 14.9 14.3 13.5 13.2 10.9 14.9 11.8 14.3 8.9 14.9 11.2 18.6 24.8 21.0 27.1 25.8 28.6 27.7 23.0 23.4 24.5 24.5 28.5 37.2 31.8 27.4 21.6 29.0 80.1 111.7 173.2 228.1 298.6 369.1 457.1 546.0 647.4 785.3 949.2 1220.9 1493.8 1812.0 2025.9 2344.4 2632.5 2857.9 3013.0 3045.4 3035.6 2797.8 2713.3 2632.0 2759.9 2864.3 2991.9 3278.1 3596.5 3869.4 4084.7
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 21.0 20.8 20.9 21.2 45.1 47.8 46.9 48.9 50.6 49.7 48.7 49.8 48.2 50.8 47.9 46.5 46.7 50.4 46.7 52.0 51.9 45.8 46.2 50.4 49.9 54.0 58.5 51.6 54.9 58.3 69.8 107.5 273.5 344.6 423.2 504.1 583.7 660.5 763.0 871.7 982.3 1127.6 1307.8 1496.4 1699.7 1900.2 2154.1 2468.1 2804.2 3137.2 3455.7 3748.5 4049.5 4342.1 4616.4 4892.7 5183.8 5492.5 5794.7 6086.2 6368.7 6638.2 6903.5 20.5 14.3 15.4 15.5 15.7 14.8 13.9 14.3 13.6 16.3 13.9 11.9 12.3 15.6 14.5 18.8 20.2 17.5 23.5 29.1 25.3 29.7 22.7 24.7 23.6 25.3 26.9 37.4 32.4 30.3 22.4 29.7 82.7 112.8 173.5 228.5 298.7 368.4 455.5 544.3 645.5 783.6 947.7 1219.1 1491.3 1809.3 2023.7 2342.7 2630.9 2857.0 3012.1 3044.3 3034.4 2797.2 2711.9 2631.4 2760.0 2863.9 2990.7 3275.9 3594.3 3866.9 4082.8
reslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 21.0 20.8 20.9 21.2 42.1 39.5 40.1 37.9 40.5 40.2 39.6 40.5 40.6 40.6 40.0 41.8 40.5 43.4 44.4 49.5 46.9 39.4 44.5 47.9 48.7 50.6 51.9 48.3 48.9 54.3 66.1 104.8 265.4 346.2 418.4 501.6 582.9 661.4 764.1 874.5 986.2 1104.6 1262.7 1438.4 1596.2 1785.6 2037.2 2342.4 2668.9 2986.9 3279.1 3541.1 3802.7 4074.2 4348.9 4649.9 4964.5 5311.0 5680.2 6059.3 6419.3 6737.7 7039.0 20.5 14.3 15.4 15.5 15.7 14.2 16.0 15.2 14.1 17.6 15.9 12.2 12.8 14.8 16.3 18.1 17.6 15.0 17.6 20.4 21.7 18.8 16.3 15.6 19.1 13.6 18.6 26.6 27.4 24.0 23.8 31.0 75.5 102.2 158.3 210.4 273.9 338.1 420.6 506.8 603.3 733.3 889.7 1156.2 1424.7 1727.4 1915.3 2203.6 2452.7 2645.8 2773.9 2767.4 2721.7 2445.1 2327.6 2229.9 2355.3 2463.6 2603.6 2896.8 3220.5 3524.1 3761.2

PM-X [μas]

data all last 10
prediction day -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
baseline gps rapid-63d-iers-none 40.1 40.0 40.0 39.5 39.4 39.5 39.3 39.4 40.3 40.8 40.4 40.7 41.8 42.8 43.6 45.4 47.1 48.2 49.4 51.0 51.2 51.3 51.4 51.5 51.3 51.4 51.5 51.2 51.6 51.0 51.0 36.5 285.9 606.3 977.6 1361.0 1736.1 2081.7 2405.9 2700.1 2973.8 3256.6 3531.4 3790.7 4045.3 4298.9 4540.8 4779.4 5030.2 5281.6 5532.1 5775.9 6008.7 6228.1 6455.0 6681.9 6898.8 7109.1 7315.9 7518.9 7720.6 7920.7 8104.3 35.1 36.7 34.5 35.1 35.2 36.4 36.0 37.2 36.7 37.1 36.9 37.0 37.0 37.6 36.2 34.7 35.7 36.6 35.0 36.7 36.6 36.4 36.5 36.5 36.4 36.5 36.4 36.3 35.8 36.6 31.6 74.8 407.1 784.2 1036.3 1045.3 1215.2 1474.1 1434.1 1616.9 1864.1 2161.6 2618.1 3026.7 3455.6 4007.8 4537.4 5025.7 5450.1 5730.4 5808.8 5899.2 6075.4 6435.9 6842.2 7209.6 7619.4 7867.3 7816.3 7945.6 8322.0 8911.8 9236.8
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 48.2 38.9 37.5 39.9 37.8 37.4 38.6 39.0 39.3 38.1 37.8 39.3 39.4 42.0 41.4 40.2 44.2 44.1 46.5 46.4 48.3 46.7 44.3 43.7 46.8 44.8 45.2 45.3 45.2 45.1 54.6 41.4 209.8 455.6 683.2 882.7 1067.2 1256.4 1437.3 1634.1 1871.7 2148.1 2442.5 2725.8 2995.9 3265.9 3536.4 3805.2 4085.3 4377.3 4677.9 4988.9 5284.7 5600.3 5910.9 6200.7 6478.7 6728.2 6950.8 7152.2 7351.5 7535.6 7716.6 35.2 53.1 32.9 42.3 39.9 30.1 35.6 33.2 33.4 37.2 42.5 40.5 43.1 40.4 48.6 53.1 47.2 43.8 46.4 45.3 52.8 48.8 44.7 41.0 43.9 37.4 26.6 39.1 35.2 22.5 35.4 76.7 378.6 802.7 1041.9 939.0 1008.6 1377.7 1356.5 1014.9 641.5 532.9 819.4 892.3 981.5 1768.4 2640.0 3303.6 4096.5 4509.3 4669.5 5164.1 5995.6 6947.7 7619.4 7390.6 7174.8 6947.8 6402.8 6674.0 7520.1 8104.9 7115.3
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 53.2 54.0 52.6 52.6 52.8 51.1 51.5 50.8 53.3 51.9 51.9 52.4 53.0 55.0 53.7 55.9 57.6 56.1 60.6 61.1 59.9 58.9 58.9 58.6 58.8 57.5 57.4 57.3 57.9 57.9 64.4 47.0 212.4 450.4 677.9 881.6 1071.1 1262.6 1446.8 1642.9 1878.5 2149.2 2437.3 2722.4 3001.4 3289.2 3568.0 3834.0 4110.6 4400.8 4709.2 5028.3 5333.4 5652.3 5962.9 6254.5 6536.0 6795.7 7027.6 7233.6 7436.4 7631.1 7817.4 35.5 44.6 42.2 48.3 33.8 43.2 45.0 42.6 39.7 38.1 49.2 49.8 25.1 44.9 26.2 31.6 32.4 40.4 29.4 60.2 50.0 37.7 28.0 33.0 35.6 51.5 41.5 47.7 50.2 44.9 40.9 69.9 364.8 766.8 1010.3 941.3 998.6 1355.6 1319.5 990.3 612.7 518.5 805.8 872.2 958.1 1757.1 2614.5 3294.3 4085.0 4493.7 4653.7 5165.6 6004.8 6940.5 7629.8 7394.6 7169.0 6939.4 6392.4 6683.4 7535.9 8121.2 7134.2
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 50.3 50.5 50.7 50.7 50.1 50.3 51.0 49.6 50.8 50.8 51.1 49.7 50.2 51.8 51.2 51.1 53.7 50.8 54.1 53.5 51.6 50.4 50.9 51.1 50.8 49.7 50.9 49.5 50.4 51.1 57.1 43.8 217.6 472.8 712.0 927.3 1129.1 1332.1 1538.3 1781.5 2064.2 2375.4 2694.4 3015.0 3332.5 3647.8 3958.3 4283.7 4594.6 4902.3 5229.6 5589.3 5947.6 6302.5 6662.6 7012.7 7337.3 7649.3 7944.1 8215.5 8490.5 8781.9 9066.4 40.1 50.3 44.9 52.3 39.0 38.2 36.4 54.7 33.2 37.8 46.2 58.1 30.2 49.5 34.4 36.9 42.7 47.4 25.3 62.1 61.1 46.9 39.8 39.5 54.4 50.2 49.8 45.2 54.4 48.2 64.5 77.9 315.6 682.9 919.8 940.7 1108.3 1299.4 1034.4 572.0 641.5 698.1 786.6 764.2 694.4 1209.7 1845.7 2404.4 2832.8 2940.3 2781.3 3270.0 4173.8 5110.2 5932.4 5830.1 5569.9 5306.9 4761.1 5092.8 6191.8 6813.6 5746.2
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers 58.6 47.1 45.4 48.2 45.1 44.2 46.3 47.9 46.9 45.7 45.6 46.9 46.7 50.6 50.2 47.7 52.2 52.2 55.6 55.6 57.7 55.1 52.2 51.9 56.0 53.3 53.6 53.6 53.5 53.5 65.4 48.9 249.3 555.6 846.0 1097.8 1328.2 1557.0 1768.5 1993.7 2269.2 2579.1 2910.3 3218.3 3501.4 3795.0 4096.5 4391.0 4722.0 5092.7 5474.9 5880.4 6257.8 6673.9 7080.5 7453.6 7810.9 8136.7 8424.4 8685.8 8933.5 9166.8 9398.6 38.0 58.2 32.5 42.7 40.6 38.8 33.7 36.4 32.2 39.0 41.8 36.8 40.7 35.1 46.8 49.4 41.7 45.0 44.8 42.9 52.8 48.2 41.7 37.0 41.1 36.1 30.4 37.2 34.5 22.6 33.3 76.6 379.0 800.8 1031.1 938.4 1014.5 1374.0 1353.5 1015.2 639.8 531.5 828.5 889.9 982.5 1772.8 2638.3 3303.9 4098.8 4502.9 4666.2 5166.1 5996.3 6943.9 7615.8 7389.4 7174.8 6947.1 6394.6 6675.2 7518.5 8107.7 7114.5
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers20 54.5 55.7 53.3 52.5 53.8 51.0 52.1 50.3 53.4 53.0 53.0 52.9 54.7 55.5 53.6 53.7 56.9 55.1 59.9 60.4 58.7 56.8 55.8 56.2 56.1 54.5 55.2 56.1 55.2 56.7 65.2 55.9 253.6 549.7 834.6 1086.5 1317.2 1542.0 1755.3 1980.6 2253.1 2557.2 2883.0 3194.2 3489.2 3807.3 4122.2 4419.9 4749.4 5116.1 5511.5 5924.7 6309.2 6730.6 7139.4 7517.9 7882.9 8218.9 8511.2 8773.7 9020.3 9256.0 9482.9 36.0 44.0 41.0 42.4 38.5 40.5 46.0 45.7 33.9 42.0 48.2 43.3 25.3 36.9 26.3 32.3 31.8 40.5 29.6 56.5 44.8 35.7 27.4 36.3 34.9 53.4 40.1 46.3 47.2 44.8 41.1 78.2 359.4 771.3 1012.8 942.0 994.8 1352.4 1322.1 995.2 610.0 517.1 805.2 867.6 963.7 1755.1 2615.1 3296.0 4088.0 4491.4 4656.0 5162.8 5999.7 6939.9 7625.7 7393.6 7169.9 6939.2 6391.0 6678.7 7533.7 8118.8 7132.3
reslearner full ensemble iers 37.1 33.3 32.8 33.9 34.4 33.1 33.6 32.5 33.3 31.7 33.2 33.6 33.5 36.7 36.1 38.1 41.5 40.4 44.1 44.1 43.0 42.9 42.6 42.2 42.5 41.6 41.9 40.5 42.6 41.9 49.0 38.3 191.8 416.2 622.9 822.5 1015.0 1209.3 1399.1 1612.1 1844.1 2089.6 2339.0 2587.4 2839.7 3081.7 3314.8 3536.3 3753.0 3971.0 4201.2 4448.1 4679.2 4896.9 5113.3 5334.5 5540.2 5722.1 5882.0 6037.3 6174.0 6326.8 6476.1 54.9 47.6 55.1 63.7 49.0 29.9 37.3 57.1 51.4 50.0 34.9 39.8 47.9 53.2 45.1 53.6 48.7 60.4 86.5 99.5 94.1 89.2 72.6 68.9 59.4 55.2 63.5 47.9 58.1 76.4 73.0 56.6 371.6 922.2 1300.5 1553.6 1733.1 2019.3 2375.6 2864.3 3354.7 3645.0 4027.7 4244.0 4532.5 4602.9 4381.5 3981.2 3793.5 4008.7 4278.1 4436.2 4315.7 4059.1 3829.8 3624.2 3879.7 4183.6 4274.0 4261.9 4241.7 4188.2 3942.5
reslearner full ensemble iers20 42.9 41.3 40.0 39.8 39.8 38.0 38.2 37.2 39.4 39.1 38.7 39.3 39.9 42.1 41.4 42.8 46.0 45.8 50.1 50.3 49.3 48.5 47.3 47.3 47.5 46.0 46.7 45.2 47.6 47.9 55.0 41.0 195.9 424.7 632.8 832.1 1020.1 1213.6 1402.9 1612.1 1838.0 2083.8 2341.1 2598.8 2859.0 3105.9 3344.5 3579.2 3811.2 4043.9 4286.2 4546.2 4786.7 5019.6 5249.5 5477.4 5682.3 5863.1 6025.0 6181.2 6319.4 6474.5 6628.2 40.1 45.1 37.2 35.1 33.9 30.0 45.1 41.6 25.4 23.9 27.9 26.1 34.4 54.8 35.0 25.2 26.1 37.7 55.2 54.2 38.7 28.6 34.5 36.0 35.5 37.1 36.2 47.8 42.6 41.4 53.5 28.0 193.0 458.6 670.0 855.4 881.7 918.7 959.3 1038.1 1202.0 1471.7 1837.5 2194.6 2378.2 2574.5 2869.3 3279.8 3672.1 4035.6 4554.4 5157.6 5720.8 6283.8 6813.3 7300.4 7792.3 8253.3 8617.2 8827.6 8991.9 9177.7 9380.0
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 47.4 38.3 36.8 39.5 37.5 36.4 37.8 38.4 38.3 37.1 37.2 38.1 38.1 40.9 40.5 39.7 43.2 42.8 45.2 45.8 47.2 45.6 43.3 43.1 45.6 44.0 44.3 44.3 44.7 44.1 54.3 40.4 209.3 456.3 687.0 888.5 1077.0 1266.9 1448.3 1644.6 1880.9 2155.3 2446.9 2728.9 2997.1 3266.7 3535.6 3800.5 4076.5 4365.4 4661.6 4973.3 5273.3 5591.9 5903.6 6194.6 6474.3 6726.3 6954.0 7159.4 7362.6 7548.1 7743.1 37.8 58.1 32.5 42.7 40.6 38.8 33.6 36.4 32.2 35.7 39.9 44.4 39.2 35.9 55.0 46.2 36.8 44.9 42.7 36.2 54.4 47.5 41.6 36.9 41.1 36.0 30.4 37.1 34.5 22.6 33.3 74.7 378.8 800.8 1031.0 938.4 1014.5 1373.9 1353.2 1015.3 639.7 531.7 827.9 890.3 983.7 1774.5 2639.6 3304.9 4100.5 4504.4 4667.7 5167.1 5996.7 6943.7 7615.2 7389.3 7175.3 6948.2 6396.3 6676.7 7519.4 8108.7 7116.8
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 52.9 53.0 51.3 51.2 52.2 50.3 50.2 50.0 52.2 51.2 51.4 51.3 52.5 54.0 53.2 54.4 56.9 55.8 59.6 60.0 59.1 58.2 58.0 57.9 57.6 56.7 56.8 56.6 56.7 57.4 63.9 46.8 211.6 450.0 676.1 878.4 1068.2 1257.8 1440.5 1637.1 1874.2 2141.4 2428.3 2712.8 2990.5 3283.3 3562.8 3829.3 4106.2 4395.5 4702.7 5019.8 5323.3 5645.1 5958.6 6252.3 6535.7 6794.3 7024.3 7229.2 7430.1 7622.1 7812.9 33.8 44.0 41.0 42.4 38.5 40.5 46.0 45.7 33.9 44.4 57.3 44.5 32.0 35.0 38.1 36.0 32.5 37.3 34.1 55.0 43.6 35.4 27.4 36.3 34.9 53.4 40.0 46.2 47.2 44.7 41.0 75.6 359.3 771.3 1012.8 942.1 994.9 1352.3 1321.9 995.3 610.2 517.3 805.6 868.2 965.2 1756.9 2616.5 3296.9 4089.6 4492.8 4657.4 5163.6 5999.8 6939.3 7624.7 7393.3 7170.3 6940.2 6392.4 6680.0 7534.5 8119.6 7134.6
reslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 49.6 50.1 50.2 50.1 49.4 50.1 50.1 49.9 50.2 49.8 50.0 49.0 49.5 50.8 50.3 50.2 53.1 50.5 53.3 53.2 51.0 49.5 49.6 50.2 49.8 49.1 50.4 48.9 49.2 49.9 55.9 42.9 290.7 598.9 933.9 1266.1 1587.1 1872.4 2133.5 2396.2 2671.0 2951.6 3243.3 3514.6 3798.6 4077.5 4350.8 4614.6 4893.4 5168.0 5436.4 5706.5 5959.7 6189.5 6438.4 6685.9 6910.6 7148.1 7346.7 7581.4 7800.7 8008.3 8226.7 37.7 49.2 44.6 54.8 37.5 42.6 39.5 55.8 34.2 37.2 47.2 54.0 28.0 49.6 32.4 37.9 41.0 48.3 27.8 61.2 58.6 43.0 33.7 43.3 56.1 47.6 51.0 45.4 51.5 48.4 57.9 76.8 399.6 810.6 1038.0 1079.9 1255.7 1527.9 1390.0 1594.0 1875.4 2159.7 2604.5 3033.9 3488.6 4025.7 4554.3 5014.9 5437.1 5732.0 5790.4 5877.8 6103.9 6431.8 6880.1 7165.6 7592.8 7892.0 7836.6 7889.6 8207.8 8824.6 9114.0

PM-Y [μas]

data all last 10
prediction day -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
baseline gps rapid-63d-iers-none 37.0 37.6 37.4 37.1 37.7 38.1 38.6 38.2 38.0 36.8 37.1 37.4 36.4 36.3 37.0 37.4 38.0 38.8 39.1 39.1 39.2 39.2 39.2 39.0 39.2 38.9 38.6 38.3 38.0 38.2 41.5 44.9 205.1 406.9 642.7 890.3 1111.9 1317.4 1509.7 1681.7 1846.1 1997.8 2149.4 2302.5 2454.5 2614.1 2785.4 2952.6 3115.6 3283.8 3451.5 3620.3 3786.7 3944.7 4105.7 4268.3 4427.6 4585.9 4745.6 4906.4 5065.2 5219.4 5363.6 19.5 21.8 25.6 25.4 25.3 25.0 25.0 25.2 25.2 25.2 25.1 25.2 25.0 23.3 21.4 20.6 20.0 20.9 21.2 18.2 19.6 19.9 19.9 19.9 20.0 19.9 19.9 19.9 20.1 18.6 40.7 64.7 188.3 288.9 413.7 526.0 607.2 689.9 635.0 712.8 870.7 782.7 798.5 877.5 960.8 1084.2 1248.0 1172.6 1040.7 978.2 936.6 1251.9 1609.6 1995.6 2435.0 3031.2 3657.7 4292.0 4873.7 5307.5 5608.1 5753.9 5801.7
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 44.5 39.4 39.9 40.9 44.3 44.9 42.3 41.0 40.6 41.0 42.7 41.7 41.8 41.8 41.2 40.0 40.0 40.6 39.9 39.7 42.6 40.7 40.5 42.0 39.7 39.2 39.2 39.4 37.4 41.8 45.4 37.5 171.0 339.8 495.7 648.9 790.0 937.3 1087.7 1252.7 1412.7 1570.9 1736.0 1900.8 2053.7 2196.8 2324.0 2430.5 2535.0 2641.6 2743.0 2845.2 2950.3 3037.7 3136.6 3244.8 3360.2 3462.1 3533.3 3617.0 3710.0 3804.9 3892.9 49.4 28.8 24.7 23.8 24.3 19.8 31.7 26.4 29.5 27.5 35.3 36.9 34.7 38.2 26.5 37.4 20.9 34.9 32.1 30.2 28.4 31.9 33.2 37.3 50.6 33.8 50.6 43.2 36.1 48.5 67.8 68.8 224.2 450.2 848.0 1291.3 1878.6 2351.7 2618.1 2897.6 3013.0 3085.4 3254.7 3171.0 2940.1 3092.1 3347.9 3691.8 4334.4 4990.0 5433.3 5952.0 6466.7 6602.2 6866.7 6974.3 6842.1 6640.8 6336.9 6137.5 6374.8 6510.4 6518.8
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 52.5 51.4 52.1 52.4 54.0 54.1 53.9 52.2 52.4 53.0 55.4 54.8 53.5 53.6 53.2 52.2 51.0 52.5 49.4 47.3 47.9 46.1 46.8 47.7 47.8 47.3 46.5 46.0 45.9 45.8 50.0 38.7 173.0 339.4 496.5 648.4 795.7 940.7 1089.2 1256.7 1415.1 1571.3 1734.7 1898.2 2044.4 2185.2 2309.9 2418.2 2521.0 2630.4 2736.5 2836.9 2943.8 3041.5 3154.7 3269.8 3385.5 3488.2 3557.7 3634.2 3718.6 3810.7 3902.7 55.4 34.5 45.3 32.2 43.1 40.6 47.6 39.1 49.6 43.3 52.7 46.3 56.9 53.2 45.3 46.0 37.9 37.1 37.8 32.0 34.3 41.8 40.5 55.2 59.3 60.9 57.8 53.9 50.2 35.9 59.6 57.6 220.4 444.8 848.4 1276.7 1869.1 2328.8 2612.6 2886.5 3008.0 3075.0 3233.3 3157.5 2930.5 3094.0 3345.0 3687.7 4334.0 5004.1 5426.1 5949.5 6456.8 6592.3 6858.7 6977.3 6836.4 6645.9 6345.2 6145.5 6384.6 6525.4 6527.5
PhycoRNNreslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 49.1 47.9 48.4 48.9 49.9 50.1 50.1 49.4 49.6 49.1 50.6 50.2 49.8 50.6 50.3 48.5 49.3 50.2 48.0 46.9 47.8 46.4 47.5 47.5 46.9 47.7 46.2 44.9 46.2 46.2 49.2 40.2 175.8 351.8 521.6 682.9 832.5 984.5 1147.6 1330.7 1511.8 1691.9 1877.7 2060.1 2235.8 2392.9 2536.0 2676.4 2805.4 2942.5 3073.7 3192.2 3308.0 3405.6 3514.7 3643.0 3776.6 3903.9 4020.3 4135.1 4261.4 4391.3 4505.6 15.7 37.0 48.3 33.2 38.8 39.3 47.8 36.5 47.9 41.9 49.4 38.8 48.8 36.6 44.1 43.1 47.3 36.6 46.3 43.4 38.4 45.8 38.9 41.9 46.5 41.5 48.3 36.9 33.7 24.4 46.2 56.7 234.2 484.4 790.4 1201.4 1552.6 1974.5 2166.1 2423.6 2837.5 2834.0 2987.7 2831.3 2464.0 2392.2 2560.1 2796.8 3325.8 3935.1 4366.8 4882.3 5358.1 5461.7 5773.8 5879.4 5701.9 5527.5 5224.0 4968.1 5148.0 5288.1 5335.0
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers 53.0 46.9 49.0 50.2 55.1 55.5 51.8 51.8 49.1 49.2 50.7 50.5 50.7 50.5 49.7 47.8 47.7 48.6 47.8 48.4 51.9 50.5 48.7 51.8 48.6 48.5 48.4 47.1 44.0 50.9 54.9 41.1 204.9 416.7 616.2 816.4 993.8 1179.8 1367.4 1581.7 1786.0 1976.9 2173.5 2371.3 2552.7 2719.7 2863.5 2991.0 3109.9 3227.0 3338.0 3444.5 3556.3 3648.1 3752.2 3873.1 4001.4 4110.6 4177.9 4257.4 4346.2 4434.5 4519.7 46.5 23.6 28.0 17.5 22.2 20.0 26.9 24.7 27.3 32.4 31.1 33.3 32.9 38.1 25.6 34.2 24.2 30.7 29.5 30.0 29.4 34.2 29.6 34.5 49.7 37.9 50.7 43.6 31.7 42.5 72.1 64.9 219.7 450.2 849.4 1291.8 1880.6 2348.7 2616.3 2899.1 3011.3 3084.8 3256.1 3168.7 2941.0 3094.2 3348.8 3696.8 4334.6 4991.4 5429.9 5952.1 6471.2 6606.7 6864.4 6973.4 6835.3 6637.6 6335.0 6132.9 6372.6 6515.7 6520.0
reslearner Bayesian in development-iers20 56.0 55.5 55.7 56.9 59.5 59.0 58.4 56.5 56.3 57.9 59.5 58.7 58.1 56.7 56.2 54.7 55.3 55.9 52.4 49.1 49.7 47.8 48.1 50.1 51.3 49.8 49.7 49.1 48.2 49.0 54.2 44.7 204.4 408.8 607.0 801.6 983.5 1165.7 1353.7 1569.5 1773.1 1961.4 2152.0 2347.6 2517.7 2683.1 2830.3 2962.3 3079.5 3201.8 3321.5 3429.0 3543.1 3648.6 3775.7 3912.3 4040.7 4147.1 4208.7 4273.4 4344.3 4423.3 4506.8 53.8 29.3 51.1 32.3 47.9 34.6 47.3 38.8 49.6 42.4 51.3 47.1 53.7 50.4 47.4 41.4 37.2 34.3 39.7 30.9 31.2 39.7 35.8 52.5 59.4 64.9 57.1 58.0 47.1 37.9 62.8 58.4 223.3 446.7 854.8 1279.3 1866.6 2335.1 2603.9 2888.5 3003.7 3075.1 3232.1 3159.7 2933.2 3092.3 3344.9 3696.3 4336.6 4995.4 5428.2 5946.8 6459.6 6593.5 6860.1 6971.9 6837.1 6642.3 6342.1 6142.7 6379.9 6526.5 6527.1
reslearner full ensemble iers 35.8 31.8 32.7 32.2 34.5 34.9 33.0 32.3 33.0 33.1 35.8 35.7 35.2 35.2 35.2 34.8 34.6 34.7 33.7 32.8 34.0 32.5 32.9 33.2 32.7 32.7 31.4 32.1 31.7 33.1 35.6 34.5 142.3 276.6 392.4 500.2 617.8 741.6 877.6 1011.9 1132.5 1255.0 1393.0 1549.7 1699.2 1840.7 1965.4 2084.7 2206.7 2335.4 2458.1 2570.0 2674.5 2760.4 2849.9 2942.8 3048.1 3159.7 3253.5 3359.8 3472.1 3581.0 3690.4 66.7 41.1 50.4 47.9 60.1 66.2 53.2 62.5 52.5 51.0 73.7 64.5 66.0 64.2 79.0 56.5 53.5 50.0 59.4 79.8 68.9 66.6 66.0 50.7 71.2 58.1 59.7 40.4 44.7 59.8 79.8 64.2 234.2 400.5 520.9 806.6 1223.1 1637.9 1907.2 2056.8 2026.4 2044.0 2083.0 2251.7 2161.9 1822.2 1538.9 1459.4 1589.8 1966.5 2288.4 2443.2 2377.6 2378.3 2575.3 2864.1 3073.9 3127.5 3142.7 3069.6 3095.4 3173.3 3251.2
reslearner full ensemble iers20 41.9 38.4 39.7 39.7 43.0 44.0 42.0 41.0 41.4 41.2 43.6 44.3 42.6 42.5 42.9 41.8 41.9 42.8 41.0 40.3 41.3 40.0 39.9 40.2 40.8 40.7 38.8 38.4 37.4 38.6 41.8 39.1 150.1 293.9 416.5 530.9 652.4 780.1 918.7 1053.6 1178.0 1300.9 1437.1 1589.4 1731.0 1866.9 1982.4 2088.4 2196.8 2314.2 2437.6 2549.2 2651.7 2739.7 2839.4 2939.6 3046.2 3155.4 3247.4 3347.0 3445.8 3544.2 3644.8 48.7 45.4 55.4 47.3 53.2 57.8 69.4 61.7 57.3 63.0 65.6 62.2 75.1 59.5 58.6 48.1 48.9 44.1 46.2 46.4 42.2 42.6 56.8 53.6 63.5 60.4 64.9 65.1 49.8 59.9 66.2 40.6 257.7 632.4 941.2 1211.0 1455.0 1567.8 1578.2 1587.4 1652.4 1818.2 2074.9 2376.3 2568.8 2714.6 2702.5 2652.5 2495.9 2298.0 2230.5 2227.6 2187.2 2186.7 2228.7 2215.0 2110.8 2090.0 2185.3 2324.9 2430.0 2480.8 2559.6
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers-eth 43.5 38.0 39.1 40.3 43.5 44.2 41.1 40.6 39.3 39.9 41.5 40.7 40.8 40.7 40.3 39.1 38.8 39.5 38.8 38.5 41.0 39.8 39.3 41.3 38.8 38.4 38.3 38.4 36.2 40.6 44.4 36.6 171.7 342.8 500.5 656.6 799.4 946.1 1096.8 1263.5 1423.3 1581.3 1748.0 1912.6 2065.7 2206.4 2328.2 2432.7 2536.7 2640.8 2741.0 2841.0 2948.3 3037.9 3139.5 3248.4 3365.3 3468.6 3540.7 3626.1 3719.3 3812.4 3906.2 42.7 23.5 27.9 17.4 22.1 20.0 26.9 24.6 27.3 41.5 29.4 36.9 42.4 43.4 27.2 38.3 27.9 38.3 32.7 30.7 36.9 34.3 29.6 34.4 49.7 37.9 50.7 43.6 31.7 42.4 72.0 64.9 219.5 450.0 848.7 1290.6 1878.9 2346.4 2613.4 2895.8 3008.3 3082.1 3253.4 3166.4 2939.0 3092.2 3346.4 3694.0 4330.9 4987.0 5425.0 5947.1 6466.3 6602.2 6860.1 6969.7 6832.6 6635.8 6334.1 6132.8 6372.7 6515.9 6520.2
reslearner gps rapid-63d-iers20-eth 51.2 50.8 51.1 51.3 53.4 53.2 52.8 51.3 51.4 52.3 54.4 53.6 53.1 52.6 52.1 51.2 50.7 51.1 48.8 46.6 47.0 45.3 45.5 46.7 47.3 46.5 45.8 45.4 44.9 45.1 48.9 37.9 173.5 340.4 497.5 649.2 794.9 940.3 1089.7 1257.5 1417.3 1572.2 1732.6 1894.1 2040.4 2181.5 2306.4 2416.6 2522.2 2632.2 2739.3 2839.5 2946.4 3045.9 3161.8 3279.0 3395.3 3497.3 3565.1 3639.4 3720.3 3808.9 3902.4 47.7 29.2 51.1 32.3 47.9 34.6 47.2 38.8 49.5 36.2 48.2 43.9 58.9 50.3 52.6 51.9 42.9 30.6 37.1 36.5 28.5 38.9 35.8 52.4 59.3 64.8 57.1 58.0 47.0 37.9 62.8 59.5 223.2 446.4 854.0 1278.2 1864.9 2332.7 2601.0 2885.2 3000.6 3072.5 3229.4 3157.4 2931.3 3090.3 3342.7 3693.6 4333.0 4991.1 5423.4 5941.9 6454.8 6589.2 6856.0 6968.3 6834.4 6640.5 6341.4 6142.7 6380.0 6526.6 6527.2
reslearner gps rapid-63d-jpl-eth 47.6 47.0 47.7 48.1 49.0 49.4 49.4 48.7 48.7 48.4 50.1 49.7 49.1 49.8 49.7 47.8 49.0 49.2 47.2 46.8 47.0 45.9 46.9 47.2 46.1 46.9 45.2 44.2 45.7 45.8 48.5 38.8 201.4 396.7 612.0 839.3 1031.0 1201.1 1371.6 1514.4 1657.7 1797.3 1938.3 2086.2 2227.9 2382.6 2548.1 2709.8 2861.4 3026.8 3190.4 3360.3 3516.4 3671.8 3819.7 3976.9 4121.5 4275.0 4428.6 4586.7 4736.1 4873.1 5035.5 13.7 32.9 43.0 36.6 41.2 40.1 47.6 37.9 49.1 41.6 50.8 39.1 48.6 35.6 43.9 42.6 45.9 38.5 45.3 43.8 38.9 44.0 39.6 36.4 52.5 42.8 38.8 34.9 34.8 24.1 42.2 52.4 176.3 328.5 426.2 531.6 610.9 751.0 692.2 833.2 989.1 950.5 981.2 1121.6 1217.3 1326.6 1407.9 1235.4 1090.8 1030.3 982.8 1394.2 1893.6 2452.1 2949.0 3612.3 4313.1 4962.4 5564.2 5980.6 6345.2 6512.7 6645.2